What could go wrong, sized plainly
The one section that never gets skipped, no matter how good the day looks.
Every theme on the crypto desk can reverse on a single headline. Gains made on light volume are the easiest to unwind, and anything already up hard overnight leaves a late buyer as exit liquidity rather than early money.
Risk today reads medium on the majors and high on the small-caps, where thin liquidity means a double-digit day can retrace just as fast. How much to put into any of it is personal — a general rule is to risk only a small slice you can afford to lose. This is general information, not personal advice.
If it already ran overnight, you are not early — you are the exit liquidity
Key points
- Majors — medium risk; rangebound tape, headline-sensitive
- Small-caps — high risk; thin liquidity, moves overshoot both ways
- The standing rule — size like you could be wrong, because sometimes you will be
Illustrative sample — general information and market commentary only, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset.